MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939693c8859f2684a8be14724282117fbf438701de890f47bc85ce8b42c11076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed New York Yankees | 66c | 155,154$101,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,517.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 88,620$30,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,596.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 26,045$10,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,814.98 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 59c | 15,715$9,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,466.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 14,975$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 65c | 11,291$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 10,405$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.75 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 9,022$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.85 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 8,714$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.45 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees | 62c | 5,666$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.94 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 5,497$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 5,219$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.79 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 5,070$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 52c | 4,635$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.05 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 4,609$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.94 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 4,588$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.46 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 50c | 4,364$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.53 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed New York Yankees | 49c | 4,042$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked New York Yankees | 65c | 3,797$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.95 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 3,782$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.12 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 3,600$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.98 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees | 62c | 3,110$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.7 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,710$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 37c | 2,642$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 35c | 2,571$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.43 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,410$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,177$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,155$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.72 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,989$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,910$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,852$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.2 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,811$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.52 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,787$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.35 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,092$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.69 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,047$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,024$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,009$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 945.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b2…2461backed New York Yankees | 65c | 925.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 922.53$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.99 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 48c | 850.04$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.23 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed New York Yankees | 64c | 774.19$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 724.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed New York Yankees | 65c | 722.22$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed New York Yankees | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees | 63c | 714.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 657$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 634.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 629.23$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 587.82$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…c4e0backed New York Yankees | 14c | 585.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.51per pick | 31cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees | 59c | 514.39$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.71 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 503.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed New York Yankees | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 490.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 476.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked New York Yankees | 30c | 440$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 435.14$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 42c | 404$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 395.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed New York Yankees | 62c | 371.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 369$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 350$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 341.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees | 15c | 333.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.39 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 330.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 314$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed New York Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…54e2backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 312.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 311.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…1c4ebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 298.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 296.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 285.54$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.82 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed New York Yankees | 71c | 279.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 270.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 270.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 269.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 40c | 265.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 265.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 261.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed New York Yankees | 65c | 261.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed New York Yankees | 66c | 261.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.