MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ae217a33b60f298daac2ff2a19c1aa2362ae001fb964bf0273241d7796bf7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $766,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $766,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 367,275$201,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,439.66 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 199,713$89,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,842.1 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 166,734$76,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,053.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 33,389$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.39 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 29,611$13,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,286.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 22,153$11,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,306.54 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 20,911$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.75 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 15,280$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 13,451$7,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 11,794$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.88 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 11,637$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 11,266$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 10,487$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.21 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 8,886$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 7,458$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.03 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 7,441$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 7,318$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 6,806$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 6,705$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 5,586$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 4,488$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 4,285$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.96 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 3,962$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.76 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 3,945$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 3,631$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.97 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…9885backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 3,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,043$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,835$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.06 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,765$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.74 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,171$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.58 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,069$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.95 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 2,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,941$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.45 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,765$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.25 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 1,410$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,360$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.83 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.97 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 1,270$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,269$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.26 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…f60cbacked Minnesota Twins | 13c | 1,103$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 976.59$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.12 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 971.63$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.38 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 952.88$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.08 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 944.78$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.28 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…9c15backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 923.45$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 919.99$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.79 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 911.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 887.78$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 879.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.22 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 838.77$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 799.08$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 777$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.88 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 2c | 771.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 743.07$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 675.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 662.38$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 614.52$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 600$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 599.6$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.78 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 593.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 544.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 514.65$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.91 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 513.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 504.1$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 499.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Minnesota Twins | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…08b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 440.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 433.54$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…1fdbbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 433$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 416.66$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 404.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 399.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 392.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…ee48backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 386.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 376.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 375.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 13.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-6.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.