UFC · resolved market

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6619f625da519b9d26f64f6da00c564465e27b6c31f39c83e311e2a4ca0325

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paddy Pimblettof Paddy Pimblett, Benoît Saint Denis
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,651,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,267,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,651,854 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Paddy Pimblett	44c	500,594$222,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278,373.37	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	479,621$217,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261,809.42	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	429,432$232,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232,252.04	202	48.5%98 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	360,129$162,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198,123.71	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	321,364$177,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177,749.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cff…59dbbacked Paddy Pimblett	46c	303,465$139,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164,085.17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Benoît Saint Denis	55c	208,989$115,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115,943.72	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Benoît Saint Denis	0c	200,019$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.26	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	195,999$110,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,549.23	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Benoît Saint Denis	58c	150,000$87,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,999.97	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Paddy Pimblett	44c	133,019$59,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,018.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Benoît Saint Denis	55c	109,505$60,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,227.6	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.24per pick	50cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Paddy Pimblett	45c	107,771$48,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,274.31	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Benoît Saint Denis	55c	105,000$57,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,399.93	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.41per pick	61cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	54,951$24,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,432.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	51,275$28,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,713.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Benoît Saint Denis	53c	51,119$27,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,093.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	48,365$26,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,600.52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Benoît Saint Denis	54c	45,800$24,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,732	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Paddy Pimblett	74c	45,470$33,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,692.77	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Paddy Pimblett	46c	42,621$19,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,015.49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	40,208$22,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,557.95	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Benoît Saint Denis	56c	39,266$22,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,044.36	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Benoît Saint Denis	56c	38,196$21,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,207.88	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Benoît Saint Denis	56c	35,906$20,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,107.49	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Benoît Saint Denis	39c	35,000$13,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,524.92	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Paddy Pimblett	45c	33,333$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,333.33	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Paddy Pimblett	46c	32,996$15,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,849.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Benoît Saint Denis	55c	31,640$17,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,401.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Benoît Saint Denis	57c	30,000$17,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,100	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	25,000$13,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,749.94	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	55cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	24,649$13,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,233.79	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Paddy Pimblett	75c	22,272$16,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,510.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	22,000$11,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,879.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Benoît Saint Denis	28c	21,179$5,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,907.12	155	37.4%58 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Paddy Pimblett	44c	20,927$9,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,751.33	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Benoît Saint Denis	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,599.94	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	20,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.9	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Benoît Saint Denis	57c	18,588$10,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,595.11	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4705…453ebacked Benoît Saint Denis	53c	18,347$9,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,724	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+75%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	17,074$9,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,206.01	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	16,281$9,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,031	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Benoît Saint Denis	53c	15,000$7,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,950	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	14,575$7,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,831.7	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Paddy Pimblett	51c	14,310$7,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,943.83	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	13,088$7,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,168.6	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Paddy Pimblett	44c	12,000$5,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,719.99	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Paddy Pimblett	46c	12,000$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,479.99	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Paddy Pimblett	44c	11,364$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,363.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	11,115$5,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,113.15	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	11,111$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Paddy Pimblett	44c	10,316$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,815.91	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Paddy Pimblett	45c	10,000$4,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,508.32	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Benoît Saint Denis	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,499.98	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.98	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb849…3787backed Paddy Pimblett	47c	9,737$4,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,160.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	9,668$4,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,317.46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	9,641$4,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,331	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	8,889$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,888.89	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Benoît Saint Denis	57c	8,019$4,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,536.1	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	8,000$4,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,456	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Benoît Saint Denis	54c	8,000$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,319.95	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Paddy Pimblett	45c	7,797$3,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,288.38	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	7,770$4,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,195.79	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Benoît Saint Denis	56c	7,000$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	7,000$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,919.98	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Paddy Pimblett	46c	6,623$3,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,576.53	61	72.1%44 W · 17 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Paddy Pimblett	46c	6,522$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,521.88	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Paddy Pimblett	47c	6,199$2,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,285.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Benoît Saint Denis	59c	6,000$3,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,540	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Benoît Saint Denis	28c	5,946$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.32	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Benoît Saint Denis	27c	5,813$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.48	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb045…d4cebacked Paddy Pimblett	45c	5,556$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,055.56	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Paddy Pimblett	42c	5,400$2,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,105.97	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Benoît Saint Denis	56c	5,385$3,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,015.8	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x740f…25adbacked Paddy Pimblett	47c	5,337$2,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,828.67	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	5,085$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840.35	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Paddy Pimblett	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf67f…31cfbacked Paddy Pimblett	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+145.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	5,000$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,775	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.99	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.97	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Paddy Pimblett	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.96	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paddy Pimblett	46c	4,821$2,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,612.35	138	36.2%50 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	4,780$2,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,672.35	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+6.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	4,715$2,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,593.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	4,645$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,498.86	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Paddy Pimblett	44c	4,537$2,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,531.79	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Paddy Pimblett	47c	4,507$2,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,388.66	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Benoît Saint Denis	53c	4,504$2,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,387.23	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Benoît Saint Denis	55c	4,500$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,474.98	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Benoît Saint Denis	56c	4,500$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,519.91	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Paddy Pimblett	42c	4,446$1,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,578.39	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Benoît Saint Denis	57c	4,092$2,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,326.58	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Benoît Saint Denis	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.99	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Benoît Saint Denis	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.98	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…4675backed Benoît Saint Denis	53c	4,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Benoît Saint Denis	55c	3,849$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.66	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Paddy Pimblett	47c	3,800$1,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,017.17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event