MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61fc3b479c8f00a79da7ab93c45f3ef9d5d7bec59c6692548e928704541a15b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof San Diego Padres, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $953,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 177,369$54,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,984.27 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 171,579$118,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,154.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 138,292$98,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,252.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 100,000$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 96,509$28,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,970.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…7776backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 74,200$22,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,017.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 55,000$38,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,300 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 51,300$35,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,913.71 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 47,422$15,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,242.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 38,456$12,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,910.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 21,581$11,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,953 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…6b56backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 18,546$12,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 18,155$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 15,966$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.78 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 14,246$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 13,892$8,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 9,259$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 9,130$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.01 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 8,520$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.23 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 8,000$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 6,425$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.24 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 5,700$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 5,265$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 4,739$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 4,351$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 3,898$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.08 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 3,000$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.54 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…500dbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 2,967$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.31 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 2,586$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.66 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 2,554$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 2,349$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.72 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 1,986$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.8 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 1,960$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,950$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.76 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,883$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 1,848$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.37 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,812$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.59 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 9c | 1,738$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,707$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 1,555$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.49 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…f2aabacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,436$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 1,346$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,169$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,124$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 1,123$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.97 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…1f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,071$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…0b07backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 1,061$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 1,045$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,028$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.55 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 999.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 999.93$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 958.35$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.98 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 948.86$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 948.86$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 942.04$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 806.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 802.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.66 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 733.14$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 711.72$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 680$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 673.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 655.77$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 630$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…9d29backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 626.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 605.02$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 599.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 596.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 564.04$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 527.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 484.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 470$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 456$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 454.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 444.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…2b3fbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 438$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 431.92$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 431.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…e1debacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.