TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under58c205,538$118,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,721.6913856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c183,398$77,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,782.7310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under55c55,794$30,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,686.7946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over45c21,934$9,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,031.1610157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over45c21,644$9,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,904.4271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c21,349$10,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,261.5311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under18c5,469$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c4,909$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.258,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c4,607$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.883,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c4,309$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.086,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa90…c709backed Under54c3,147$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.556256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over45c1,778$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7839953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over45c1,778$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7838551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under55c1,777$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.351,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over49c1,769$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.812,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under55c1,398$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.862,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over43c1,271$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.131,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c1,237$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.364,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over45c1,204$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over42c1,000$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.251,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c758.82$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.355,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…7690backed Under55c690.91$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over45c681$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under55c674$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.71,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over64c643.69$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.034,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c585$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.751,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c536.6$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under44c452.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over44c362$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6514559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over59c356.74$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.838,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c334.08$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.086,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17037.1%26 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over45c237.35$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7295252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over43c233.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3228948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c232.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.988,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Over45c220.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.122548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over42c199$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.421,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under51c181.09$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3216132.3%52 W · 109 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over45c178$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.945045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over45c170.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.85,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over45c168.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over44c149.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.413357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd131…eb1abacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over42c146.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.522,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under9c142.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48614.9%3 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.61,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Under55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7067449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over47c112.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9152750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe983…93bfbacked Under31c112.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.441735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over42c100.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.024,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over45c90.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7629250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked Over44c79.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.64261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde4e…d6e9backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.928464.3%54 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed Over45c66.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.663871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over46c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8888247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Under53c62.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.357950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over48c59.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.981,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under56c55.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2320945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over47c46.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.783141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf194…b52dbacked Under55c45.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252035%7 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over45c41.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9378854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c41.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.233,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over34c40.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under53c37.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2134255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3c…2bc2backed Under43c37.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Under54c36.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015339.9%61 W · 92 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Over43c36.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.738744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Over43c34.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.647644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d5…1ca9backed Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.613148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ba…4d1abacked Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over49c28.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.637642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Over62c28.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6636759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Under41c26.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8413554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7539053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over53c22.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Under54c18.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.257258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over69c17.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.