MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f2499fca387cf8faca448f3a463ce15bed10bc240295544d01186ef47ab3986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 119,922$65,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,622.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 92,955$42,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,715.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 29,549$12,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,884.06 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 29,090$13,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.5 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 23,686$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,702.22 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 21,114$14,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 15,829$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,291.04 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 14,730$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 8,914$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 7,638$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 6,553$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.5 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 5,132$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.96 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 4,171$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.5 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 4,054$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,965$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 3,044$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.66 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…61e5backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,777$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.58 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,542$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.12 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,168$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,893$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,853$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.35 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,640$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,573$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,544$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,527$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.71 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,382$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,275$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,212$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,123$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…6710backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,087$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.48 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 1,086$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,050$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.99 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 982.62$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 979$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.32 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 893$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.2 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 743.04$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 700.35$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.19 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 694.44$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 673.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 632.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.02 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 614.96$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.93 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 586.24$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 585$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 556.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…43f6backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 543.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 516.23$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.93 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x262a…f594backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 461.06$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 455.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 431$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 399.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 399.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 388.39$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 377.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 340.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…5f28backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 294$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 291.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 287.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…944dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 275$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 260.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 239.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 225.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 219.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 198.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 195.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 184.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…e99cbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 169.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 169.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 166.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 166.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 152.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.