TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd131…eb1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$30.21
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.64
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.29
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$144.25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$32.67
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+161.1%+$161.08
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.99
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$49
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38%+$38.03
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$68.81
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$24.01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+253%+$40.73
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$17.13
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+594.9%+$65.44
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+205.6%+$41.11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$23.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$25.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$14.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$17.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$56.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.