Middle East · resolved market
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e93f62e95393aead73025acc8871c5adaf800b8a50d89df5f85f7f0a6146253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Yes | 76c | 13,248$10,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed No | 63c | 11,411$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 30c | 9,885$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.9 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…0cc2backed No | 21c | 9,770$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 23c | 8,735$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.69 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 32c | 8,167$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,541.9 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 64c | 7,832$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.75 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 66c | 6,550$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.33 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 50c | 5,877$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.31 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 35c | 5,755$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.66 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 36c | 5,562$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.89 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 43c | 4,033$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.76 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 1c | 3,614$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 41c | 3,394$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 3,031$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…9914backed No | 2c | 2,990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…6badbacked No | 1c | 2,516$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…b793backed No | 3c | 2,497$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 69c | 2,482$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.88 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 43c | 2,466$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.87 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 24c | 2,331$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.29 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 8c | 2,200$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…058dbacked No | 61c | 2,177$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 62c | 2,171$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.6 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 46c | 2,162$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.28 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 2c | 2,022$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9990…c1e2backed Yes | 76c | 1,984$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 18c | 1,950$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…dd59backed No | 3c | 1,657$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 74c | 1,644$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.77 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 18c | 1,600$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 35c | 1,493$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.98 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…2261backed Yes | 54c | 1,465$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…deefbacked No | 7c | 1,394$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +304.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 52c | 1,248$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.04 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…57b0backed No | 2c | 1,246$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 1,131$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.46 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 46c | 1,091$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.32 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9df…be72backed No | 73c | 1,090$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 69c | 1,062$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…6b22backed Yes | 38c | 963.13$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…4fcabacked No | 77c | 960.55$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 65c | 954.11$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.87 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed Yes | 57c | 953.83$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.65 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 946.2$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.76 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 46c | 913$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed Yes | 66c | 905.6$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.18 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 53c | 888.16$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 25c | 882.88$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Yes | 26c | 812.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.58 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…15f9backed Yes | 22c | 808.48$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.62 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 6c | 804.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 801.53$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.2 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…b422backed Yes | 32c | 782.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 55c | 775.2$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…c876backed Yes | 69c | 738.73$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 73c | 729.98$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.79 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 57c | 725.21$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked Yes | 34c | 703.04$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…c8c3backed No | 3c | 700.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…050abacked No | 2c | 693.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 31c | 692$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.14 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd7be…539fbacked No | 69c | 664.37$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.13 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…027dbacked No | 72c | 658.64$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…80e1backed No | 37c | 647.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 53c | 617$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 56c | 609.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.63 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Yes | 59c | 608.59$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…54c6backed No | 74c | 600$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…660cbacked Yes | 63c | 599.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 30c | 574.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 73c | 559.02$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 46c | 552$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…0a87backed Yes | 34c | 541.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…88ffbacked Yes | 50c | 540.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 77c | 518.48$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 66c | 499.06$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.77 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 33c | 489.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 62c | 483.13$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 42c | 478.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked No | 70c | 474.39$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 22c | 465$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 55c | 455$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed No | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 14c | 447.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 25c | 444.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…6bbbbacked No | 56c | 434.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed No | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed Yes | 24c | 416.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.65 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…13b9backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 36c | 399.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 43c | 397.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.21 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d51dbacked No | 3c | 395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed No | 75c | 362.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 64c | 352.3$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7f…60ffbacked Yes | 36c | 349.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked No | 75c | 340$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -10.4wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?this page
- Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.