Middle East · resolved market
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f12138191bc599965b22fb58925e8c802019d7d3b0220d8c3b39b993c0d821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 77c | 11,216$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.61 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked No | 1c | 5,422$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 27c | 3,835$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.36 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 6c | 3,166$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 66c | 2,931$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.14 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…15f9backed Yes | 50c | 2,870$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.97 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 39c | 2,596$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 62c | 2,067$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.88 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 1c | 2,015$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.6 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 50c | 1,872$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.92 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 56c | 1,831$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 23c | 1,721$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…bfaebacked No | 64c | 1,596$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 60c | 1,590$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 1,578$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…55b3backed No | 4c | 1,565$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 14c | 1,500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 12c | 1,294$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 32c | 1,194$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 14c | 1,162$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 14c | 1,150$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 40c | 1,149$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.56 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 34c | 1,012$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed No | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 59c | 999.97$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 46c | 950.63$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…3a89backed Yes | 68c | 925.34$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.37 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…a745backed No | 46c | 916.57$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 863$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 61c | 799.99$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 21c | 713.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 640.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.57 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 10c | 599.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3a64backed Yes | 44c | 592.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 3c | 591.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…c765backed Yes | 68c | 584.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 48c | 582.13$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 51c | 550$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cfa8backed No | 67c | 517.82$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 55c | 501.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 39c | 482.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 64c | 479.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 29c | 479.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.19 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 57c | 479.75$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 15c | 465.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 459.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed No | 12c | 450.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 28c | 431.95$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.95 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 58c | 399.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…a4a3backed Yes | 64c | 366.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1836…c47cbacked No | 56c | 347.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 72c | 333$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e189backed No | 52c | 309.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 77c | 258.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +1,954.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…8380backed No | 40c | 250.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 50c | 243.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 230.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 25c | 220.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 71c | 205.09$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…13b9backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…7b3cbacked Yes | 51c | 199.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…14f8backed No | 58c | 190.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 43c | 188.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 57c | 183.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…0a87backed Yes | 47c | 167.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…80e1backed No | 37c | 165.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…222bbacked Yes | 52c | 157.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked Yes | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…d2edbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 59c | 140.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Yes | 73c | 137.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…2d86backed No | 39c | 133.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…8c81backed Yes | 53c | 131.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…0a67backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…0704backed No | 50c | 111.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…abc2backed Yes | 47c | 106.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 105.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…696ebacked No | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…b0a4backed No | 64c | 101.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…a2f3backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…a831backed Yes | 79c | 94.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…db5bbacked Yes | 79c | 93.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 70c | 89.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…330cbacked Yes | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed No | 60c | 84.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 39c | 83.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?this page
- Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.