TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x007f…233a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5366%35 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$16.22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$75.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$32.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$200.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.96
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39%+$34.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.64
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.19
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$7.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$119.31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$37.97
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$17.87
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$26.54
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$5.71
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4465.9%29 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$36.37
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$28.33
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.94
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.56
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$41.95
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.79
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.2
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.72
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.79
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$60.9
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$71.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$44.12
Will Google reach $320 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Google dip to $290 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$47.64
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$16.32
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.1%+$31.34
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 2 above $142?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.4%+$21.35
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $210?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.1%+$32.39
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $215?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.03
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $300?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$81.72
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$44.51
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $260?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.2
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $265?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.4%+$10.39
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$11.02
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$22.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.42
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.14
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$158.49
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$584.53
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$162.37
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+62.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+236.4%+$491.57
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$45.95
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$3.57
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$10.02
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+201%+$350.41
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$18.1
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will Laurie Buckhout be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$169.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick48cpaid-86.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.99
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$6.31
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.28
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+198.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.51
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$14.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$16.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25.5%+$102.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.