TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06e1…696e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 63 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4273.8%31 W · 11 L+7.9wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+40%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$24.42
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$11.55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$69.3
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$10.08
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$18.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.44
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$76.4
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$52.81
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$44.2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$64.6
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$56
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+250%+$75
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.3
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$45
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$11
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$56.2
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+253.3%+$1,731.36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$32.4
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$25.46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$28.2
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.25
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$80.81
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.99
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$16.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.