AI · resolved market
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4def2f59c0bda4816b64d41a062d424be07bdaef40021d26bb90be3d4e03ff49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 76c | 22,122$16,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.39 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…36e2backed No | 24c | 21,005$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 24c | 21,000$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.99 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…06abbacked No | 31c | 19,750$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 75c | 16,345$12,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.4 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 7c | 14,603$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.25 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…98b8backed No | 2c | 6,500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 5c | 6,129$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.89 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…40d0backed Yes | 69c | 5,663$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…842dbacked Yes | 73c | 5,439$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 9c | 4,347$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 5c | 4,119$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 4c | 3,612$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 3,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…c86fbacked Yes | 73c | 3,504$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…a0a4backed No | 6c | 3,219$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 5c | 3,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 3c | 3,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,754$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 77c | 2,722$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.63 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 68c | 2,416$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…4fc1backed Yes | 71c | 2,052$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,894$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3bb1backed No | 3c | 1,684$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 29c | 1,480$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.45 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed Yes | 69c | 1,452$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked No | 1c | 1,399$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…8e90backed Yes | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed No | 11c | 1,311$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 68c | 1,255$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 22c | 1,194$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 4c | 1,193$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 2c | 1,115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 23c | 1,033$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 1,018$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 5c | 1,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 73c | 1,000$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 919.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067b…c252backed No | 1c | 912.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…eef9backed No | 5c | 901$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 8c | 900$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 9c | 876.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 66c | 875.54$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…76bcbacked No | 19c | 842.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…35b8backed Yes | 73c | 820.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 75c | 814.24$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 63c | 800$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 19c | 794.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +165%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 784.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 68c | 726.35$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.79 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 5c | 656.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 13c | 651.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fb…484ebacked Yes | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d7…df89backed No | 28c | 504.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +460.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…929fbacked Yes | 75c | 499.96$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 5c | 493.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked No | 22c | 449.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 16c | 445.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed No | 5c | 435.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 69c | 435.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 6c | 419.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…bdafbacked Yes | 29c | 416.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes | 72c | 415.89$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 6c | 404.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 6c | 370.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 6c | 346.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 67c | 343.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 336.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 10c | 330.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 26c | 329.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed No | 32c | 311$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 70c | 305.07$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 63c | 299.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…264ebacked Yes | 78c | 281.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 70c | 279.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…bf7bbacked No | 4c | 276.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 56c | 269.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…a321backed Yes | 35c | 262.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 41c | 261.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed No | 8c | 260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 80c | 252.19$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1795…194cbacked No | 9c | 239.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 48c | 232.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 22c | 230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked Yes | 80c | 227.1$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed No | 29c | 210.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 11c | 202.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…a2b8backed No | 27c | 201.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 73c | 185.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…fe0dbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?this page
- Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?No won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.