AI · resolved market
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d557615e658c7f2ca9eb06673bd909005fad014f8ff4ebf717e944e6fda55bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes | 8c | 9,536$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…45f0backed Yes | 5c | 8,817$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 1c | 6,270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…842dbacked Yes | 29c | 5,672$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 26c | 5,604$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.41 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 38c | 4,344$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.17 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed No | 75c | 3,590$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…4fc1backed No | 63c | 2,502$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…39d8backed Yes | 16c | 2,216$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,811$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 35c | 1,805$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.21 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.2 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…8794backed Yes | 5c | 1,377$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 6c | 1,339$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 25c | 1,225$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 21c | 1,117$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 1,099$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.25 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…c86fbacked No | 78c | 1,071$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 16c | 982.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +165%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 74c | 930.68$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 10c | 894.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 61c | 775.54$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…8e90backed Yes | 38c | 665.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…c29fbacked Yes | 16c | 633.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 32c | 630.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 621.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 61c | 600$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…60b1backed No | 72c | 564.36$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed Yes | 5c | 551.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 544.51$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…6eb9backed No | 74c | 533.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed No | 61c | 519.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 35c | 505.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 503.04$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 3c | 479.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…68f3backed Yes | 14c | 438.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 24c | 428.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…82d3backed Yes | 5c | 428.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 388.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1faebacked Yes | 4c | 362.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 10c | 329.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 18c | 326.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…15a1backed No | 71c | 281.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…5c6abacked Yes | 49c | 240.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked No | 54c | 239.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 55c | 215.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed No | 64c | 210.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 20c | 208.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 16c | 203.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed No | 71c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…8c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…4188backed Yes | 6c | 187.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes | 45c | 175.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 165.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 165.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…76bcbacked No | 64c | 165$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 74c | 161.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…5e04backed No | 64c | 156.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 22c | 150.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…9501backed Yes | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 30c | 141.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 30c | 141.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 134.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed No | 74c | 118.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…5723backed Yes | 9c | 116.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 112.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9143…7a54backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…17fabacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8e…4cacbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…335fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…2707backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…bd16backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 61c | 98.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 75c | 97.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 86.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 14c | 86.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…36e2backed No | 61c | 81.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?this page
- Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?No won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.