TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55c0…6c7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4526.7%12 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+243.1%+$64.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$12.29
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+175%+$27.47
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+563.4%+$109.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$8.49
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$22.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+417.1%+$94.14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$35.17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$31.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+550.4%+$135.65
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$25.71
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+2,281.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.14
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+307.8%+$68.84
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$12
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$7.67
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$35.5
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$3.65
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+495.1%+$109.96
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+224.4%+$88.6
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.82
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.54
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+54,900%+$9,870.93
All 24 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$14.56
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.47
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+107%+$20.85
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+920.8%+$145.26
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$8.1
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$26.41
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$17.65
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$14.12
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$5.84
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$6.54
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+330.2%+$104.03
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$31.52
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+463.2%+$74.8
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.94
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$9.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$3.47
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$13.54
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-80.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.06
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.54
All 7 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+155.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burgos vs. Forca Lleida CEbacked Forca Lleida CE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.