China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd1c5c73140f0e2c4421ce87768749283ccf47ef162ae01a63614ebfc8c426d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 11,198$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 14c | 10,215$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.44 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 8c | 7,859$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 20c | 3,791$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 77c | 3,515$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 38c | 2,641$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 14c | 1,882$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 25c | 1,821$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,723$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,512$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 16c | 1,425$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,408$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 1,343$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 72c | 1,285$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 28c | 1,246$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 743$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 15c | 726.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 25c | 552.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 7c | 527.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 518.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 66c | 501.2$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 15c | 500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 80c | 490$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 461.19$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 42c | 435.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 65c | 419.43$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 51c | 392.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 342.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 29c | 337.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 32c | 317.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 305.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 37c | 301.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…51c1backed Yes | 27c | 298.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…89a5backed No | 70c | 286.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 282.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 268.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 7c | 264$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 25c | 261.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes | 40c | 259$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 46c | 257.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 251.59$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c59…8363backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…db61backed Yes | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…6f90backed No | 64c | 243.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 241.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 240$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…86c3backed Yes | 32c | 215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 7c | 208$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 205.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 47c | 203.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 25c | 194.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…7b17backed No | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked Yes | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 9c | 149.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 68c | 142.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…742bbacked No | 73c | 142.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 67c | 142$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…de8dbacked No | 67c | 126$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 24c | 103.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…73b2backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…ca28backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 92.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 34c | 91.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 45c | 80.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 74c | 78.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 71.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…c349backed Yes | 43c | 70.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 66.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…1307backed Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed Yes | 22c | 59.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…9ba8backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 61c | 53.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad0…2a03backed No | 73c | 53.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…ef6dbacked No | 55c | 52.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…5864backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…2ba7backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 46.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -11.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…8adabacked Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a343backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 36c | 39.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 32c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 59c | 37.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 30c | 36.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…cee9backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +335.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d450backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…6048backed Yes | 46c | 29.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4e…6516backed Yes | 46c | 28.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 62c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…bc25backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.