China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2bd56ef760e2ef54bfa47bfe99347db9be6bf7586501c1fde233385d0b1f6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 48c | 3,982$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.5 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 3,737$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed Yes | 63c | 2,378$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 33c | 1,937$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,843$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 14c | 1,774$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 1c | 1,675$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 42c | 1,599$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 4c | 1,594$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 65c | 1,478$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 39c | 1,240$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 33c | 1,199$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 17c | 999.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 998.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 54c | 868$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 857.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 58c | 840.4$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 802.41$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 7c | 791.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 14c | 742.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 46c | 725.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 37c | 720.43$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 8c | 699.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 618$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 43c | 606$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked No | 77c | 588.8$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 25c | 566.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.96 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 558.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 554.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 47c | 538.17$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 528.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 54c | 525.4$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 510.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 46c | 456.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 446.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 22c | 416.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 38c | 372.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 66c | 348.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 13c | 331.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 313.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 37c | 303.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 46c | 285.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…01a8backed No | 69c | 279.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 11c | 262.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…6316backed No | 16c | 252.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…6bf7backed Yes | 77c | 250$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 28c | 249.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 44c | 247.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 41c | 242.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 5c | 241.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Yes | 72c | 235.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 52c | 235$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d2a7backed Yes | 59c | 234$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 222.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 209.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…68a2backed Yes | 40c | 200.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 28cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…f2d0backed No | 7c | 186$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad03…9bcabacked No | 55c | 181$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…29efbacked Yes | 56c | 177.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 173.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…d318backed Yes | 58c | 173.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…97f8backed Yes | 58c | 173.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ec32backed Yes | 66c | 151.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 150.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…0d5dbacked Yes | 66c | 150.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…fc2fbacked Yes | 43c | 139.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…0e6bbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 127.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…aea9backed Yes | 80c | 123.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 24c | 122.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793b…80a8backed Yes | 80c | 109.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 24c | 106$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…b9e6backed Yes | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 94.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 23c | 90.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…870ebacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e8…a0cbbacked No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…c555backed No | 22c | 86.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 26c | 85.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 76c | 84.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 27c | 71.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…756abacked Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…7d2bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2e7ebacked No | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…63dbbacked No | 30c | 66.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…8d66backed No | 77c | 63.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 49c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f1…3c5ebacked No | 28c | 60.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…3995backed Yes | 53c | 56.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 54.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -11.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.