TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8023…29ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$57.15
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.7
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$8.22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$133.55
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.83
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$37.79
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will South Africa vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$19.41
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffsbacked The Ruddy Sack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.01
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.26
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$34.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$77.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+45%+$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Geabacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$122.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$20.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$15.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.