MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb566853a5e05ff6b30355e6440cf207d65d83cfd4f70ef3cf72a58b370ee80

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,330,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,364,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,330,292 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 894 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	331,295$172,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172,273.24	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	315,271$150,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164,900.12	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	176,714$79,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,857.3	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	144,035$75,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,189.77	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	126,469$66,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,951.77	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	114,347$58,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,097.8	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	104,697$54,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,872.52	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	100,000$48,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,999.99	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	89,055$54,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,532.34	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	74,999$38,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,249.69	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	72,495$36,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,359.34	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	60,332$28,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,536.96	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	50,000$27,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,500	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	46c	40,197$18,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,825.03	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	35,243$17,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,974.18	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	34,762$17,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,728.46	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	32,692$17,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,000	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	57c	31,021$17,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,634.6	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles	34c	27,238$9,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,020.59	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	24,538$12,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,299.21	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles	43c	18,971$8,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,738.47	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	18,626$9,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,499.07	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	18,626$9,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,685.32	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.27per pick	46cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	18,367$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,367.35	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Tampa Bay Rays	48c	17,843$8,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,564.78	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,800	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	14,997$7,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,368.16	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	14,524$7,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,924.67	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Baltimore Orioles	63c	12,579$7,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,596.3	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	12,500$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	12,413$5,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,454.93	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	10,501$4,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,647.9	96	66.7%64 W · 32 L	+16.4wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	10,500$5,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,498.16	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	10,327$4,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,329.06	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	10,199$4,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,201.56	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	54c	10,000$5,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,425.04	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	10,000$5,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,777.88	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	151	48.3%73 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	9,377$3,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,932	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	9,038$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	8,183$3,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,216.74	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8256…3600backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	7,948$4,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,133.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	7,793$4,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,052.43	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	7,535$3,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,068.1	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	7,354$3,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750.56	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	7,345$3,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,819.15	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa74…d98bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	6,659$3,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,662.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Tampa Bay Rays	2c	6,426$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.48	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Baltimore Orioles	17c	6,099$1,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,046.61	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	6,000$3,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,233.2	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	5,875$2,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,055.29	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	5,495$2,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,662.61	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	48c	5,409$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	5,321$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	5,286$2,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,695.69	630	52.7%332 W · 298 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfc…1818backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	5,160$2,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,838	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	5,000$2,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,603.39	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	4,842$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	4,591$2,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,444.82	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	4,259$2,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,337.33	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Baltimore Orioles	43c	4,075$1,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,323.72	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles	46c	4,058$1,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200.32	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	4,000$2,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,308.69	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	3,961$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,114.79	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	3,957$2,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,176.29	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	3,950$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150.1	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	3,925$1,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,064.74	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Baltimore Orioles	37c	3,903$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,466.68	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	69c	3,555$2,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,452.66	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	3,383$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488.55	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	3,364$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.88	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	3,326$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.3	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	3,221$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,771.69	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	3,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Tampa Bay Rays	7c	3,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	15.7%16 W · 86 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2578…b2a6backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	2,986$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.48	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	2,969$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.96	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Tampa Bay Rays	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,879$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.66	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	2,781$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles	36c	2,774$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,772.64	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	2,715$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	2,700$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,433.82	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles	47c	2,653$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.84	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	2,635$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.35	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c6…73a7backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	2,600$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	2,513$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	71cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	2,487$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.81	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	74c	2,415$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,791.02	88	62.5%55 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Tampa Bay Rays	7c	2,400$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	7cpaid	+162.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	2,390$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,254.57	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	2,361$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,204.12	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	43c	2,343$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.53	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	56c	2,333$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.65	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	2,326$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.18	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	2,318$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.24	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	2,300$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.94	119	48.7%58 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event