MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2261dfebaa62cb4ca60f83434d5741930fb5a3d190543faedf0d04cc1d805b53

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over	50c	5,423$2,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,684.91	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	43c	4,601$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,964.91	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over	62c	3,473$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.56	304	54.3%165 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	39c	3,183$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.02	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	49c	2,081$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.52	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	72c	1,738$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.16	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	60c	664.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.74	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under	55c	436.99$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.13	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	57c	346.28$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.82	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	44c	306$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.12	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over	35c	286.81$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.81	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	41c	267.15$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.61	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over	37c	266.38$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.11	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under	47c	254.01$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	430	43%185 W · 245 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	38c	227$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.96	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	46c	174.38$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.45	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	51c	138.07$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over	28c	107.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.53	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under	59c	100.49$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.87	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	56c	97.32$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.53	439	54.7%240 W · 199 L	+30.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	32c	50.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under	68c	48.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	209	62.7%131 W · 78 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	44c	43.59$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.19	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	62c	40.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	546	51.3%280 W · 266 L	+29.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9202…18b0backed Under	66c	39.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b5…abc1backed Under	66c	39.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over	52c	36.75$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	475	49.7%236 W · 239 L	+17.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40aa…b99bbacked Under	67c	36.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	35c	36$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	558	47.7%266 W · 292 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	63c	35.37$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe86d…bee9backed Under	68c	34$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2655…77d2backed Under	66c	33.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb34c…e5bebacked Under	66c	32.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…5ed5backed Under	66c	32.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.0wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8382…962bbacked Under	66c	31.7$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-3.0wins	-0.49per pick	66cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9e9…b5fdbacked Under	67c	31.29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under	65c	31.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e2c…d4fabacked Under	65c	31.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc50…65fcbacked Under	66c	30.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…d62abacked Under	66c	29.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e4…0d44backed Under	65c	29.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Under	66c	29.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…e37bbacked Under	67c	29.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…cacfbacked Under	66c	29.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x440b…7551backed Under	67c	29.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5620…1764backed Under	66c	29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	60c	28.58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ed…e937backed Under	65c	28.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec2…3732backed Under	66c	28.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c7…b0c6backed Under	65c	28.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0008…c072backed Under	67c	28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ef…1778backed Under	65c	27.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5b…59b8backed Under	65c	27.61$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	61cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Under	66c	27.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…d900backed Under	67c	27.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6384…f6f5backed Under	65c	27.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	65cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x086a…2fc0backed Under	65c	27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under	65c	27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17f0…add7backed Under	65c	26.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…ab10backed Under	65c	26.59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.46per pick	66cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d22…a206backed Under	67c	25.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	69cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Under	74c	25.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Under	66c	25.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10d…2642backed Under	66c	25.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…6e15backed Under	67c	25.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5e…8a41backed Under	67c	25.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34f1…0ecabacked Under	67c	25.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…3b98backed Under	66c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…a082backed Under	67c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36fe…b091backed Under	66c	24.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea4e…aceabacked Under	66c	24.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42a…31d2backed Under	66c	24.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under	47c	24.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f6b…13b8backed Under	67c	24.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e2…23c6backed Under	67c	24.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6833…bb84backed Under	66c	24.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.03	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	65cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe998…ac26backed Under	65c	23.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	67cpaid	-60%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b5c…a2ddbacked Under	65c	23.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.41	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf244…a9fbbacked Under	65c	23.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	59cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8be6…221cbacked Under	67c	23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.41	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under	66c	22.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	150	50%75 W · 75 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4799…07febacked Under	66c	22.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa826…a0ecbacked Under	66c	21.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	62cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4da…3261backed Under	66c	21.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6413…5093backed Under	65c	21.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	67cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a2e…60efbacked Under	65c	21.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	62cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f1…adc3backed Under	66c	21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2120…50c4backed Under	67c	20.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	71cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under	53c	20.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed Under	67c	20.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c38…c255backed Under	66c	20.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4bc…afb5backed Under	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a6…575abacked Under	66c	19.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f6f…44e9backed Under	66c	19.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	67cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8711…d2a7backed Under	65c	19.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	65cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ecc…15f2backed Under	66c	19.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	64cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Under	66c	17.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f10…8fd3backed Under	66c	17.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	64cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc20…dc0bbacked Under	67c	17.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event