MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fca3fdbb73eddfd36d6bf785f26899ede591ce08d991f386042274d4dbbe1f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 22,344$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 21,100$8,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,577.52 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 15,066$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175.8 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 12,938$7,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 5,140$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.38 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 5,009$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 4,840$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 4,733$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,000$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,201$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,006$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.58 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,006$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.58 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,000$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,991$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.76 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,946$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.58 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,677$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.12 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,518$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.29 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,499$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.17 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,360$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,275$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.14 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,138$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.89 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,100$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,085$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.7 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,081$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1579backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 796.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 788.99$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 742.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 703.62$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.52 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 636.86$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.48 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 631.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.53 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 531$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 473$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 421.88$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 408.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 391.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 279.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 275$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 274.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…5134backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 261.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 256$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 249.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 209$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 207$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 192.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 184.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 180.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55a…448dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 169.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…e41bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 162.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 161.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 161$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 157.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 153.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 133.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 128.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 116.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 113.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…c15cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 99.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…257bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 93.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 85.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 67.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 64.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 62.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…a7b6backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 50.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 49.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 49.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 49.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.