Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0624295297cdb08af689568d516ecb8f7344576d525b7008a084b315bcd0ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Ruddy Sackof The Ruddy Sack, Arctic Pandas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Arctic Pandas | 29c | 1,613$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…c455backed The Ruddy Sack | 74c | 1,344$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Arctic Pandas | 15c | 984.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 47c | 852.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.65 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Arctic Pandas | 39c | 788.02$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.93 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arctic Pandas | 24c | 760.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Arctic Pandas | 15c | 750.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Arctic Pandas | 9c | 685.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Arctic Pandas | 37c | 497.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked The Ruddy Sack | 60c | 335$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed The Ruddy Sack | 79c | 332.87$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Arctic Pandas | 24c | 314.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 300.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed The Ruddy Sack | 37c | 300.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 298.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed The Ruddy Sack | 37c | 295.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked The Ruddy Sack | 60c | 269$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arctic Pandas | 8c | 245.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed The Ruddy Sack | 77c | 228.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked The Ruddy Sack | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…9528backed Arctic Pandas | 44c | 197.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arctic Pandas | 17c | 160.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arctic Pandas | 30c | 160.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Arctic Pandas | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Arctic Pandas | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Arctic Pandas | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Arctic Pandas | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed The Ruddy Sack | 69c | 144.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Arctic Pandas | 43c | 127.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arctic Pandas | 12c | 126.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed Arctic Pandas | 23c | 120.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Arctic Pandas | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Ruddy Sack | 44c | 98.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Arctic Pandas | 21c | 91.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 221 | 46.6%103 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…29efbacked The Ruddy Sack | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Arctic Pandas | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked The Ruddy Sack | 72c | 60.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked The Ruddy Sack | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed The Ruddy Sack | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed The Ruddy Sack | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked The Ruddy Sack | 74c | 44.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed The Ruddy Sack | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Arctic Pandas | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…7d4abacked Arctic Pandas | 41c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed The Ruddy Sack | 69c | 29.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Arctic Pandas | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed The Ruddy Sack | 62c | 22.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs The Ruddy Sack (+1.5)The Ruddy Sack won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 1 WinnerThe Ruddy Sack won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 WinnerThe Ruddy Sack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.