Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbdff0120c7df4fcb9947d81f769bf97ec2b976d99cd2d24b4abccd77e9fb237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Ruddy Sackof The Ruddy Sack, Arctic Pandas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arctic Pandas | 20c | 874.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Arctic Pandas | 24c | 701.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked The Ruddy Sack | 77c | 293.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked The Ruddy Sack | 76c | 263.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Ruddy Sack | 74c | 261.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arctic Pandas | 18c | 238.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Arctic Pandas | 9c | 214.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Ruddy Sack | 50c | 186.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arctic Pandas | 9c | 165.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed The Ruddy Sack | 50c | 148.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arctic Pandas | 39c | 145.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 76c | 141.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed The Ruddy Sack | 72c | 140.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed Arctic Pandas | 65c | 122.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7196…73d9backed The Ruddy Sack | 75c | 119.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed The Ruddy Sack | 76c | 66.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed The Ruddy Sack | 46c | 39.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…401ebacked Arctic Pandas | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 359 | 43.7%157 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed The Ruddy Sack | 72c | 28.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Arctic Pandas | 38c | 26.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs The Ruddy Sack (+1.5)The Ruddy Sack won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC PlayoffsThe Ruddy Sack won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 WinnerThe Ruddy Sack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.