TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe80…9528

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.21
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.32
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$234.59
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$404.8
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$61.14
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.36
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.19
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106.52
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$120.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$26.54
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$72.57
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffsbacked Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.9
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+59.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$321.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$287.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$275.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$108.65
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.