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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,941,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,588,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,941,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed LYON10c642,322$61,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,745.83754.1%20 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd190…38f9backed LYON8c521,418$41,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,713.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed LYON11c202,265$23,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,183.835040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked LYON16c189,668$29,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,976.951,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed LYON17c130,000$22,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,099.9528137.4%105 W · 176 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed LYON29c126,800$36,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,316.5119239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…038cbacked LYON6c117,871$6,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,516.881910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed LYON13c100,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.975628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Hanwha Life Esports49c99,259$48,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,572.061741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf9…d602backed LYON76c94,410$72,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,119.62450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9171…9e5fbacked LYON14c86,046$12,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,046.432623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd532…25efbacked LYON37c85,801$31,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,496.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c79,691$39,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,345.3133838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LYON29c77,939$22,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,339.851,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked LYON17c72,812$12,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,417.9211138.7%43 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed LYON47c62,627$29,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,377.233627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON33c61,881$20,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,566.6270641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked LYON10c60,660$6,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.412934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed LYON14c58,817$8,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,252.276445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd743…875bbacked LYON14c50,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…faa0backed LYON13c50,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5005632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked LYON11c50,000$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.7526344.5%117 W · 146 L+18.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked LYON13c50,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9925744.7%115 W · 142 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed LYON9c49,738$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.0138624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed LYON12c49,058$6,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,042.4646451.7%240 W · 224 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed LYON43c46,336$19,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,782.0835648.9%174 W · 182 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed LYON9c43,375$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.2618132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked Hanwha Life Esports56c41,535$23,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,410.746845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed Hanwha Life Esports74c40,369$29,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,416.957156.3%40 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Hanwha Life Esports74c40,140$29,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,524.0639964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Hanwha Life Esports80c38,926$31,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,818.1240851.7%211 W · 197 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LYON28c31,290$8,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,778.9387443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON36c31,000$11,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,24092254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed LYON8c30,816$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.946046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Hanwha Life Esports74c30,606$22,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,845.521344.6%95 W · 118 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Hanwha Life Esports77c30,476$23,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,914.42,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LYON38c30,424$11,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,450.21,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Hanwha Life Esports69c30,160$20,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,306.381560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcb…7743backed LYON21c30,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Hanwha Life Esports70c29,999$20,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.753750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c28,196$13,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,426.7512036.7%44 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Hanwha Life Esports46c25,394$11,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,585.7738735.9%139 W · 248 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Hanwha Life Esports77c25,000$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,749.9996948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Hanwha Life Esports66c24,835$16,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,483.7430845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked Hanwha Life Esports79c23,375$18,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980.4912446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LYON44c23,111$10,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,137.758457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked LYON53c22,797$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,995.946045%27 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed LYON17c22,126$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,826.6740232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed LYON15c22,015$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.428839.8%35 W · 53 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed LYON13c21,434$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.54520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-54.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9450…dbebbacked LYON14c20,706$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed LYON19c20,654$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.619122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3239…8da3backed LYON22c20,448$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.75442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked LYON28c20,158$5,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6216437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Hanwha Life Esports66c20,030$13,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.2264455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Hanwha Life Esports65c19,798$12,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,001.0138662.2%240 W · 146 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hanwha Life Esports67c18,968$12,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,259.5957546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6364…1c50backed LYON30c18,500$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,550633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed LYON13c18,160$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.7714852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bb…54fbbacked LYON13c17,979$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4009151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Hanwha Life Esports68c17,754$12,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,703.051,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Hanwha Life Esports46c17,541$8,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,471.998439.3%33 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed LYON54c17,395$9,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,393.211573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked LYON30c17,012$5,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.3117647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a23…3253backed Hanwha Life Esports51c16,915$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,365.1710857.4%62 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Hanwha Life Esports73c16,070$11,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400.4220450.5%103 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…6098backed LYON30c15,676$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,663.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x835e…3036backed LYON13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LYON35c14,331$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.871,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed LYON14c14,286$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004022.5%9 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed LYON34c14,241$4,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,791.4248449.8%241 W · 243 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked LYON30c14,100$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.5332442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b36…b103backed LYON57c14,000$7,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,94013360.2%80 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked LYON43c13,465$5,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,810.5117954.7%98 W · 81 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed LYON17c13,241$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.2844120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed LYON35c13,036$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,526.7510055%55 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Hanwha Life Esports54c12,712$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,803.7213037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…aa69backed LYON9c11,564$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0604148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON35c11,500$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0252,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Hanwha Life Esports63c11,185$7,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.551,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b6…fcdabacked Hanwha Life Esports49c10,673$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.561729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked LYON19c10,214$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95214748.3%71 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Hanwha Life Esports48c10,169$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,287.337143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hanwha Life Esports50c10,111$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,071.241376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed LYON13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015933.3%53 W · 106 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Hanwha Life Esports50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0007051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe37f…a74bbacked LYON0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Hanwha Life Esports49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Hanwha Life Esports63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9930945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed LYON51c9,998$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.8959750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked LYON35c9,915$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.9435341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hanwha Life Esports65c9,580$6,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.2732650.3%164 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Hanwha Life Esports64c9,196$5,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.9922360.1%134 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked LYON11c9,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9908828.4%25 W · 63 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Hanwha Life Esports66c9,000$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.9942149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed LYON13c9,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9839851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Hanwha Life Esports65c8,851$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.099144%40 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked LYON25c8,791$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.0767853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…794ebacked LYON12c8,765$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.325339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked LYON10c8,707$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7459658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.