Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d141292c3b84c306aa35ca74a2d3ddad2b531c6d7b75cd4eb4056839de01742

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,621 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	41c	999.96$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.98	421	49.2%207 W · 214 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Over	2c	893.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	51c	626.78$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.74	1,308	38.6%505 W · 803 L	-64.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over	60c	524.17$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.5	321	50.2%161 W · 160 L	+19.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	114	34.2%39 W · 75 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Under	69c	500$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	466	50.9%237 W · 229 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over	31c	430$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.3	118	44.9%53 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Under	44c	427.37$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.01	377	54.1%204 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over	57c	403.23$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.81	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Under	53c	399.98$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.99	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over	56c	369.97$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.48	361	55.4%200 W · 161 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	40c	353.05$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.83	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under	48c	320$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.4	1,110	49%544 W · 566 L	+42.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Under	50c	300.06$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.06	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	183	48.1%88 W · 95 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over	55c	270.42$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.14	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under	50c	270$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	605	38.8%235 W · 370 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Over	47c	260.74$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.9	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under	43c	246.64$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.1	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	+12.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under	44c	230.7$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.19	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over	59c	203.51$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked Over	59c	169.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	44.6%100 W · 124 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Under	41c	154.48$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.25	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under	41c	150$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.5	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	148.38$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.81	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	68c	129.98$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.08	349	60.2%210 W · 139 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Under	52c	121.15$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.15	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under	46c	115.76$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.76	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+28%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Over	57c	105.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-5.0wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	41c	99.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.57	255	51.4%131 W · 124 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcae…8b25backed Over	31c	96.46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d7…0917backed Over	60c	89.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under	43c	86.5$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.31	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	63.7%121 W · 69 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce98…6d30backed Under	76c	77.8$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	49c	75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c9…c1dcbacked Over	59c	67.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Over	70c	57.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8386backed Over	57c	54.39$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Under	45c	53.11$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.11	249	45.8%114 W · 135 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under	40c	50.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.43	127	43.3%55 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Over	40c	49.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	251	48.2%121 W · 130 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under	40c	49.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.72	454	44.3%201 W · 253 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed Over	61c	47.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	44c	47.13$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	395	7.1%28 W · 367 L	-122.2wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…a1aebacked Under	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+101.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over	50c	39.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over	57c	38.42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	54c	36.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	249	59.8%149 W · 100 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Under	39c	35.9$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11d9…da1fbacked Over	56c	35.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under	32c	35.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	961	49.9%480 W · 481 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	48c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738d…6d09backed Over	59c	34.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked Over	60c	31.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-11.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc933…f519backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be7…58e7backed Over	55c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf56…743ebacked Over	62c	24.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-5.3wins	-0.24per pick	56cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8dc6…1dc6backed Over	53c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e9…4d47backed Over	58c	20.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce61…a87fbacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Over	62c	19.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	950	48.5%461 W · 489 L	+26.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event