Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecbffe1d11bb3692332ded94db310e5ea00b01e94e2b9474934fc11f242b204

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,554 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf48…36c2backed Over	19c	7,232$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,858.24	122	26.2%32 W · 90 L	-11.8wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	16c	4,344$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,648.75	1,308	38.6%505 W · 803 L	-64.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Under	34c	2,957$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	53	66%35 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over	65c	2,250$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.67	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over	68c	1,525$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.43	527	50.5%266 W · 261 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	50c	1,478$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.05	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	51c	1,359$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.85	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over	24c	1,167$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.07	354	48.6%172 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	54c	757.92$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.03	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Under	76c	655.92$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.5	494	61.3%303 W · 191 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over	74c	542.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.06	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over	19c	524.02$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.02	217	51.2%111 W · 106 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	18c	501.96$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.98	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	17c	433$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Under	24c	400.38$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.23	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	64c	367.33$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.89	421	49.2%207 W · 214 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over	18c	351.39$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.14	545	29.7%162 W · 383 L	-34.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over	65c	319$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.27	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	72c	309.93$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.67	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	37c	305.28$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.03	152	43.4%66 W · 86 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over	65c	303.26$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.14	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed Over	35c	299.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.99	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba74…e022backed Under	80c	250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	63.7%65 W · 37 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under	22c	234.26$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.12	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	44c	219$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.99	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	56c	197$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.35	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under	52c	193.51$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.23	193	42%81 W · 112 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	39c	156.62$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.11	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over	70c	142.96$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.96	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd78…77debacked Under	74c	142.51$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	132	56.8%75 W · 57 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7947…ac07backed Over	45c	133.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over	46c	127.39$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.79	371	61.7%229 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…d175backed Over	45c	124.44$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.44	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	19c	120$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.2	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under	34c	111.54$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.92	406	37.7%153 W · 253 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…9917backed Over	68c	103.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d7…0917backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	31c	89.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	60c	86.25$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.19	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over	41c	80.49$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.49	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under	30c	80$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Under	35c	78.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Under	35c	76.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under	52c	66.17$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.49	573	49.4%283 W · 290 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…6761backed Under	35c	65.78$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Under	78c	65.75$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.33	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-4.7wins	-0.29per pick	61cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8cf…80febacked Under	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	36c	62.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	168	19.6%33 W · 135 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6049…79dfbacked Under	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…7402backed Under	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Over	21c	55.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.89	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	65c	54.56$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.61	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	60c	53.73$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	1,061	54.7%580 W · 481 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under	47c	50.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	307	31.6%97 W · 210 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Under	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	79c	46.58$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.78	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over	56c	42.56$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	576	55.9%322 W · 254 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under	45c	40.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	777	41.7%324 W · 453 L	-27.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over	64c	40.25$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.39	255	51.4%131 W · 124 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Over	46c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7954…678dbacked Under	63c	39.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	71.6%48 W · 19 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	68c	34.84$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	530	47.2%250 W · 280 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc901…0c1dbacked Under	43c	32.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…66febacked Over	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…8e5fbacked Under	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	74c	25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Over	45c	22.21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under	70c	21.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	287	59.9%172 W · 115 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Under	73c	21.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	186	65.6%122 W · 64 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under	75c	19.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	385	55.1%212 W · 173 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf09…f0e0backed Under	60c	19.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0410…e499backed Under	60c	19.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-5.3wins	-0.31per pick	49cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	76c	18.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event