TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb7e…d175

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.04
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.56
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$48.49
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.94
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.56
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.9
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.48
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$103.23
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.27
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.49
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$181.29
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$88.47
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$68.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$80.14
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61.3
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.58
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$214.2
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.03
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.95
All 15 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.