TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under64c16,400$10,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,575.1410547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under63c7,131$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,482.3669741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over38c6,682$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,165.961,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under62c4,561$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.3321347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over38c4,234$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.9612843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Over34c3,718$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.131833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Over45c3,695$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.669253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over46c2,269$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.8232442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c1,998$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.682,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over52c1,945$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.234151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over41c1,511$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.6537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Over37c1,453$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.1248742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under60c1,212$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.572,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under63c1,197$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.0737342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over35c1,043$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7246248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c851.84$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.132,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over37c814.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.8439541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Over35c720$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4688538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed Over42c653.4$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.443554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.438828.4%25 W · 63 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Over36c530$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.525332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under55c519.76$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3919342%81 W · 112 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over36c515.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.078750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under63c507.29$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5789050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over35c500.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0724643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under64c491.05$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1720143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under14c472.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.55648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under62c462$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.071,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under15c410.35$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5416819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over33c397.31$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1962451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf65…9ed5backed Over44c340.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over62c264.19$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over79c252.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2513451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over58c252$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6719553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under51c240.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.061,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under63c240$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.224832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over38c231$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9635848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under62c210.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3482836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff77…75dcbacked Over35c192.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.461330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over34c187.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9845338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over37c183.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2763944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over36c179.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.124544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Over50c179.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under52c177.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4663742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over36c173.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8626440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under53c164.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.812,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over35c161.43$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9315950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under57c154.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.861,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9965…9f1cbacked Over37c154.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over36c151.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8621751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.862951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.864949%24 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8913160.3%79 W · 52 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7e…d175backed Over35c136.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over38c132.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7766058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b30…3fb4backed Over40c124.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under53c121.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6221231.1%66 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under46c117.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.311216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over39c116.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Under61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6224649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Under13c99.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1334342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over42c99.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.546142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under40c94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.843,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over36c87.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.054465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33b0…3636backed Over35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.713050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under16c81.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8512430.6%38 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Over36c80.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3823624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under55c78.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.379460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over36c64.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3616346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under22c63.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.899436.2%34 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c62.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under65c61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6525342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb54b…f08bbacked Over36c54.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.85341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2093…fc4ebacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.056827.9%19 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Under64c53.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x883d…f62cbacked Under65c50.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.520239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…56fabacked Under65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over47c44.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under28c42.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9440637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72cc…1eb0backed Over50c40.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10d…7d8dbacked Under50c40.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under64c37.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2439555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under54c37.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Over36c36.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1164435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over38c35.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.759953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec60…9423backed Over43c34.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…0b4ebacked Under57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1325…8fd1backed Under65c33.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under65c33.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.746826.5%18 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef67…1e60backed Over35c31.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x619e…0149backed Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205567.3%37 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Under65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58245.1%37 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.