TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,669 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0467…fb2ebacked Bilibili Gaming18c5,352$963 inLost-$963.431833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b6…fcdabacked Bilibili Gaming19c3,063$582 inLost-$581.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54d4…75acbacked Bilibili Gaming19c2,443$463 inLost-$463.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Bilibili Gaming19c1,079$205 inLost-$20540726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Bilibili Gaming19c1,000$190 inLost-$19011245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Bilibili Gaming15c811.85$122 inLost-$121.91,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Bilibili Gaming8c631.64$49 inLost-$48.5269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming19c526.32$100 inLost-$10029833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Hanwha Life Esports80c435.35$348 inWon+$87.07862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Bilibili Gaming17c368.28$63 inLost-$62.6135442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Bilibili Gaming19c364.76$68 inLost-$67.7720143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming19c331.78$63 inLost-$62.862,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed Bilibili Gaming20c250$50 inLost-$504245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Bilibili Gaming16c200$32 inLost-$3220542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Bilibili Gaming7c160.99$11 inLost-$11.4816819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Bilibili Gaming19c131.58$25 inLost-$257642.1%32 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Bilibili Gaming18c125.77$23 inLost-$22.612,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…3344backed Bilibili Gaming19c115.79$22 inLost-$221435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Bilibili Gaming18c113.22$20 inLost-$20.3879745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9da…fa5dbacked Bilibili Gaming19c109.99$21 inLost-$20.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming19c100$19 inLost-$1974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked Bilibili Gaming19c100$19 inLost-$194837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78d…e9f0backed Bilibili Gaming19c100$19 inLost-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Bilibili Gaming19c99.99$19 inLost-$1924649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Bilibili Gaming17c99.99$17 inLost-$174247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Bilibili Gaming20c90.31$18 inLost-$185242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Bilibili Gaming19c78.95$15 inLost-$1537141.2%153 W · 218 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Bilibili Gaming20c75$15 inLost-$1512263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4722…36bbbacked Bilibili Gaming20c75$15 inLost-$155152.9%27 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe24f…614abacked Bilibili Gaming16c62.5$10 inLost-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Bilibili Gaming18c61.1$11 inLost-$1125851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.