TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8430…3961backed Bilibili Gaming6c1,093$67 inLost-$66.8737554.4%204 W · 171 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha Life Esports47c769.91$362 inWon+$408.183,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming53c466.19$248 inLost-$247.862,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Hanwha Life Esports52c386.54$200 inWon+$186.5421352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff52…4546backed Bilibili Gaming5c370$20 inLost-$20.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+162.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb58b…a4e9backed Bilibili Gaming53c189.85$100 inLost-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Hanwha Life Esports47c127.64$60 inWon+$67.658750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…3bbebacked Bilibili Gaming49c100$49 inLost-$492740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd59b…e06cbacked Bilibili Gaming53c94.34$50 inLost-$503154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Hanwha Life Esports47c77.42$37 inWon+$40.841,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked Bilibili Gaming53c56.6$30 inLost-$3022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Bilibili Gaming28c45.23$13 inLost-$12.723957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x36bf…52f7backed Bilibili Gaming53c43.62$23 inLost-$23.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Hanwha Life Esports49c40.98$20 inWon+$20.913451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397f…85f6backed Bilibili Gaming52c38.48$20 inLost-$206238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed6…daefbacked Bilibili Gaming53c28.3$15 inLost-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8793…9c83backed Hanwha Life Esports50c20$10 inWon+$101457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Hanwha Life Esports79c12.99$10 inWon+$2.7319168.6%131 W · 60 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.