TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,842 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha Life Esports47c1,149$539 inLost-$539.073,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a5…a5bfbacked Hanwha Life Esports50c833.86$417 inLost-$416.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming54c659.59$356 inWon+$303.972,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Hanwha Life Esports50c201.1$100 inLost-$10021352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc0…4dfcbacked Hanwha Life Esports45c167.74$76 inLost-$76.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x665e…dc39backed Bilibili Gaming52c139.31$73 inWon+$66.382236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Bilibili Gaming53c122.64$65 inWon+$57.6412638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked Bilibili Gaming53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.3422444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…52f7backed Bilibili Gaming53c56.6$30 inWon+$26.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd59b…e06cbacked Bilibili Gaming60c50$30 inWon+$203154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397f…85f6backed Bilibili Gaming53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.746238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Bilibili Gaming54c37.28$20 inWon+$17.2813451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Hanwha Life Esports47c26.94$13 inLost-$12.668750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed6…daefbacked Bilibili Gaming74c20.32$15 inWon+$5.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…be06backed Hanwha Life Esports50c20$10 inLost-$103537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.