TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,117 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under31c905.81$281 inLost-$280.83,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Under34c799.99$272 inLost-$271.9930546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Over66c752.83$500 inWon+$252.8376955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7b…f9f9backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon+$224.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over63c294.24$185 inWon+$108.8734568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Under37c270.27$100 inLost-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon+$51.5211045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed Over70c63.18$44 inWon+$19.187846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under32c59.98$19 inLost-$19.1945444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c59.5$42 inWon+$17.842,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over68c49.99$34 inWon+$167842.3%33 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aef…26f6backed Over69c43.48$30 inWon+$13.4811047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under31c40.68$13 inLost-$12.741749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e79…83eebacked Over69c21.74$15 inWon+$6.747323.3%17 W · 56 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-56.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.