TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc69b…2076backed Under26c26,152$6,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,743.3469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd6…3710backed Under0c25,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under24c16,500$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.8821347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under24c11,111$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.6223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under20c10,027$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.6137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over76c7,544$5,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.736858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed Under21c7,417$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.351650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over75c6,669$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.3566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over79c6,429$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.0914852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over76c5,751$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.241,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under25c3,100$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.121833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over79c2,824$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed Under25c2,600$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+551.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over76c2,583$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.0397254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under22c2,359$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.498750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over76c2,157$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0135848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Over76c2,001$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.322352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under25c1,638$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9262151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over76c1,586$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over75c1,533$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3328166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under20c1,500$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.292,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over74c1,492$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6946148.8%225 W · 236 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Over79c1,304$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Over79c1,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4211045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over73c1,224$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over74c1,200$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31010350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over74c1,163$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8720143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over77c1,075$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2528643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed Over76c1,012$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.913455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…d2babacked Over76c901.22$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.294845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over76c700.99$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.243855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3535…5ec6backed Over78c688.02$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.362839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9835…f8fdbacked Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over79c600.01$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12634448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under23c600$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.592,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Under22c543.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.534342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under16c533.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.442,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over76c526.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6713451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dab…e2c1backed Over76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12515341.8%64 W · 89 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11034568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Over78c491.13$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1325660.5%155 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Over74c490.62$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5616546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under23c476$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.822,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed Over76c434.21$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2111943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0072…88b6backed Over75c426.67$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.673652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under25c406.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f3…3866backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under14c399.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.311,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7484360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under25c346.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7524543.3%106 W · 139 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Over76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7503…aa2bbacked Over73c322.19$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.192166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4613354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Over80c313.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2825065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over75c283.36$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9d2…342ebacked Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162934.5%10 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Over75c253.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2612967.4%87 W · 42 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b2b…a420backed Over78c251.78$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over76c233.94$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2821751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Over76c228.95$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9513160.3%79 W · 52 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under16c227.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.363,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over75c203$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.954748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5219470.6%137 W · 57 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Under25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…6476backed Over76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x713c…6b30backed Under26c193.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under26c193.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1144538.2%170 W · 275 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under10c189.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7716819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over74c186.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.141,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over78c183.19$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.351,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Over76c176.39$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3314160.3%85 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over74c163.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5316346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Over75c155.17$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.799250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c50…c3e2backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1444350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528e…22cebacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3349346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf28…6e45backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3310252%53 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2545…f187backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5812263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Under22c130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610138.6%39 W · 62 L-12.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8861…ab58backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe8a2…8b61backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307839.7%31 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under10c116$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531,92335.9%690 W · 1,233 L-98.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44c…21cfbacked Over75c108.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under25c104.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0511435.1%40 W · 74 L+0.5wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under13c102.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1421231.1%66 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over75c100.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.424544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2519161.8%118 W · 73 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26a3…1cc1backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.