TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,301 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa83f…b857backed Hanwha Life Esports65c3,367$2,186 inWon+$1,181.316237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Bilibili Gaming47c2,385$1,112 inLost-$1,111.858750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Bilibili Gaming19c1,155$222 inLost-$222.0524832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Hanwha Life Esports78c1,062$825 inWon+$236.588538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha Life Esports48c1,023$490 inWon+$532.693,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Bilibili Gaming46c1,000$458 inLost-$45842149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Hanwha Life Esports57c901.77$510 inWon+$391.7734737.5%130 W · 217 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Hanwha Life Esports58c607.99$353 inWon+$255.0938154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Hanwha Life Esports49c567.82$278 inWon+$289.3719367.9%131 W · 62 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming52c564.3$296 inLost-$295.532,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Bilibili Gaming29c550$160 inLost-$1604228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Bilibili Gaming29c420$123 inLost-$1234238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Bilibili Gaming29c410$119 inLost-$118.758042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Bilibili Gaming31c318.54$99 inLost-$99.443834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fac…7ef6backed Hanwha Life Esports49c203.51$100 inWon+$103.512744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb58b…a4e9backed Hanwha Life Esports50c199.33$100 inWon+$99.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Bilibili Gaming52c160$83 inLost-$83.220143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47dc…ffaabacked Bilibili Gaming53c146.4$78 inLost-$77.592931%9 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bilibili Gaming29c136.42$39 inLost-$38.961,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Bilibili Gaming52c130.06$68 inLost-$67.6327856.5%157 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7119…db8dbacked Hanwha Life Esports48c104.17$50 inWon+$54.175149%25 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…3bbebacked Bilibili Gaming50c100$50 inLost-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd59b…e06cbacked Bilibili Gaming52c96.15$50 inLost-$503154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked Bilibili Gaming52c96.15$50 inLost-$5022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Bilibili Gaming52c89.25$46 inLost-$46.414566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3db2…f119backed Hanwha Life Esports49c75.41$37 inWon+$38.461942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Bilibili Gaming44c71.54$31 inLost-$31.3225551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Bilibili Gaming51c68.04$35 inLost-$34.716346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Bilibili Gaming48c59.98$29 inLost-$28.7945444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Hanwha Life Esports49c51.02$25 inWon+$26.0210847.2%51 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Bilibili Gaming49c45.37$22 inLost-$22.211,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Bilibili Gaming51c29.99$15 inLost-$15.361946.5%288 W · 331 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed Bilibili Gaming52c28.85$15 inLost-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked Bilibili Gaming52c21.15$11 inLost-$1113748.9%67 W · 70 L-11.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.