Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf9eb3fb8a47720937e7d5569862b830394069509526fc8663a61ccdb20c1fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 44c | 1,234$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.53 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 46c | 632.92$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 71c | 563.89$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…b7e6backed Over | 57c | 530.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 29c | 423.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +699.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Over | 52c | 307$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…72f3backed Over | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Over | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…25b6backed Under | 46c | 192.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…9c50backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Over | 56c | 183.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 44c | 166$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Over | 53c | 162.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under | 35c | 155.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…092ebacked Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 41c | 123.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…ebe4backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…88fbbacked Over | 55c | 83.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 57c | 79.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 57c | 73.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…66febacked Over | 48c | 71.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 55c | 70.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…26f6backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…87aebacked Over | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Over | 56c | 35.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…f6eabacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…a588backed Over | 54c | 29.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 37c | 28.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…3c93backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…0086backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 5?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.