TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee12…0086

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$30.96
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.34
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+103%+$33.38
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$13.76
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$116.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.74
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.78
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.31
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.52
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.8%+$8.3
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+116.2%+$26.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.