Spread: United States (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a029e4250b18648e06da0168533249e9807af1ac5c7317e25d3e3cdafba03b

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Türkiyeof United States, Türkiye
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,018,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,961,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,018,114 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Türkiye	71c	355,084$252,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,339.49	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	30c	295,785$87,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87,734.96	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States	29c	249,911$71,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,726.48	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Türkiye	74c	86,183$63,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,671.04	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	31c	85,518$26,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,449.64	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked United States	27c	85,000$22,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,974.85	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Türkiye	72c	76,000$54,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,280	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed United States	32c	70,804$22,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,657.28	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked United States	31c	67,177$20,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,532.02	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	30c	63,685$19,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,151.03	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Türkiye	64c	55,220$35,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,066.5	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Türkiye	71c	48,072$34,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,997.37	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed United States	27c	33,761$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed United States	9c	30,343$2,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,861.3	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Türkiye	70c	26,773$18,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,918.51	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Türkiye	70c	25,017$17,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,440.03	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked United States	47c	23,979$11,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,301.01	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Türkiye	70c	23,500$16,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,974.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked United States	31c	22,721$7,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,048.51	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Türkiye	70c	22,210$15,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,583.44	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Türkiye	69c	21,857$14,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,881.05	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Türkiye	71c	20,000$14,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,799.99	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Türkiye	70c	19,017$13,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,627	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Türkiye	70c	18,902$13,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,684.85	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Türkiye	71c	17,888$12,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,178.04	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Türkiye	71c	17,500$12,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,138.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed United States	29c	17,244$4,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,921.24	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Türkiye	61c	16,200$9,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,285.71	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked United States	10c	15,359$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.45	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed United States	46c	14,959$6,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,927.5	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Türkiye	70c	13,510$9,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,028.11	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Türkiye	71c	13,000$9,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Türkiye	74c	12,956$9,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,368.67	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Türkiye	72c	12,800$9,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,584.08	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Türkiye	72c	12,792$9,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,581.9	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Türkiye	70c	12,255$8,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,675.93	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed United States	34c	11,305$3,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,812.79	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked United States	42c	10,628$4,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,442.92	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Türkiye	71c	10,173$7,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,954.37	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed United States	29c	10,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Türkiye	70c	9,369$6,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,788.53	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Türkiye	72c	9,000$6,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,520	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Türkiye	71c	8,985$6,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,632.42	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Türkiye	70c	8,545$5,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,563.38	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked United States	29c	8,338$2,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,410.26	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Türkiye	69c	8,000$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Türkiye	68c	8,000$5,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Türkiye	73c	7,694$5,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,102.21	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Türkiye	71c	7,083$4,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,087.82	174	16.1%28 W · 146 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Türkiye	55c	7,073$3,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,182.91	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Türkiye	70c	6,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Türkiye	74c	6,000$4,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Türkiye	52c	5,825$3,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,806.88	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked United States	45c	5,722$2,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600.59	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Türkiye	72c	5,706$4,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,589.24	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed United States	28c	5,555$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555.4	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked United States	39c	5,525$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152.89	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Türkiye	73c	5,450$3,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,471.49	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Türkiye	55c	5,413$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,412.54	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed United States	17c	5,349$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Türkiye	68c	5,000$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed United States	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed United States	27c	4,554$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.41	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Türkiye	54c	4,412$2,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.52	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed United States	24c	4,391$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.73	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Türkiye	71c	4,302$3,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.57	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed United States	26c	4,235$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.84	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Türkiye	70c	4,221$2,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.74	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Türkiye	70c	4,195$2,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.07	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Türkiye	72c	4,033$2,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.13	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Türkiye	63c	3,956$2,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,446.35	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Türkiye	78c	3,864$2,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.04	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Türkiye	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.36	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Türkiye	74c	3,500$2,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Türkiye	74c	3,477$2,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.6	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked United States	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked United States	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked United States	29c	3,442$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Türkiye	74c	3,378$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$878.38	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Türkiye	69c	3,200$2,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked United States	21c	3,112$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.76	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Türkiye	72c	3,088$2,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.03	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed United States	28c	3,071$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.85	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Türkiye	55c	3,000$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.35	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Türkiye	68c	3,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Türkiye	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Türkiye	68c	3,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Türkiye	69c	2,800$1,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked United States	8c	2,615$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.09	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked United States	30c	2,602$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.51	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed United States	27c	2,568$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.16	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed United States	45c	2,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Türkiye	69c	2,400$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked United States	49c	2,394$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.77	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Türkiye	74c	2,222$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.72	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Türkiye	72c	2,222$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.16	143	48.3%69 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Türkiye	69c	1,968$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.78	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Türkiye	71c	1,888$1,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.14	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed United States	24c	1,850$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Türkiye	70c	1,800$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-1.5)this page
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Türkiye won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event