TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
United Statesof Türkiye, United States
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x133b…2f22backed Türkiye10c25,693$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Türkiye2c9,296$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Türkiye11c9,092$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Türkiye3c7,738$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Türkiye11c7,362$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Türkiye3c7,292$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Türkiye13c6,840$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.142532%8 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Türkiye2c6,316$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Türkiye10c6,001$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Türkiye13c5,681$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Türkiye10c4,886$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Türkiye10c3,748$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8216546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Türkiye11c3,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Türkiye3c3,080$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Türkiye11c2,299$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8743139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Türkiye13c2,184$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.92623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Türkiye12c2,170$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.369136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Türkiye11c2,150$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Türkiye25c1,670$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.246637.9%25 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Türkiye10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Türkiye7c1,449$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Türkiye13c1,433$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Türkiye24c1,348$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4512145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Türkiye10c1,325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Türkiye13c1,231$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Türkiye12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd08a…cfe2backed Türkiye11c918.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Türkiye10c856.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.282,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Türkiye24c843.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Türkiye14c802.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3916831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Türkiye13c693$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.091,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Türkiye13c651$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0519935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked United States77c649.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7115141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Türkiye11c640$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Türkiye8c627.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3122122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Türkiye12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Türkiye13c480$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Türkiye4c420.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.681,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Türkiye25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Türkiye10c396.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Türkiye24c369.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.488441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6b…9fe4backed Türkiye14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Türkiye24c352.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2621143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked Türkiye14c328.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4623943.1%103 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Türkiye11c327.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.857255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4520…9182backed Türkiye25c322.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015146.4%70 W · 81 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Türkiye11c316.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Türkiye10c309.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5f…7750backed Türkiye14c302.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.414325.9%37 W · 106 L+0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Türkiye11c287.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Türkiye21c283$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5245536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c0c…759ebacked United States75c267.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+84.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed United States76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.168727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Türkiye20c250.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.164825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Türkiye24c249$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016827.4%46 W · 122 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Türkiye28c238$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.191,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Türkiye11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Türkiye9c223.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Türkiye24c210.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Türkiye12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.234551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Türkiye12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Türkiye10c208$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…074dbacked Türkiye24c202.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04fb…1204backed Türkiye10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207364.4%47 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Türkiye25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.88749.4%43 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Türkiye12c181.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5753…fa31backed Türkiye14c178.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.012015%3 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed United States72c168$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0413059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Türkiye11c167.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397f…85f6backed Türkiye12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011247.3%53 W · 59 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Türkiye15c160.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2426146%120 W · 141 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Türkiye15c157.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Türkiye12c151.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6529846%137 W · 161 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Türkiye15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc7…0451backed Türkiye10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Türkiye10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked United States75c145.8$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8915341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d4…3bb6backed Türkiye14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207225%18 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed United States78c136.31$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.711,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Türkiye12c124.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Türkiye13c124.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-82.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Türkiye12c115.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8527363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Türkiye13c107.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421939.3%86 W · 133 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f45…f101backed Türkiye24c104.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258158%47 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b81…bf19backed Türkiye24c102.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510769.2%74 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefb8…135cbacked Türkiye10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Türkiye10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Türkiye10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Türkiye14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2034…16dfbacked Türkiye10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+192.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Türkiye12c98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7658530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Türkiye22c95.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5aecbacked Türkiye23c87.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208441.7%35 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3c…a397backed Türkiye24c83.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…97a3backed Türkiye13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Türkiye28c67.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7319960.8%121 W · 78 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed United States76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.796968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc43f…5e7ebacked Türkiye24c61.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152524%6 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Türkiye35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Türkiye24c53.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311625.9%30 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.