TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,363 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf387…61c0backed Over4c3,168$121 inWon+$3,047.0934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under48c582.73$280 inLost-$279.715046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under17c501.71$85 inLost-$85.292744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under7c490.99$36 inLost-$35.8213813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c376.17$202 inWon+$173.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under43c346$149 inLost-$148.822,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over48c328$157 inWon+$171.111,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over60c300$179 inWon+$121.081,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over58c285$165 inWon+$119.722449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c271$125 inLost-$124.662,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c240.14$177 inLost-$176.632,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Under55c183.27$100 inLost-$1005650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c175.31$89 inWon+$86.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under25c150.74$37 inLost-$37.2612029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Under80c136.28$109 inLost-$1096374.6%47 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c130.99$68 inWon+$62.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over75c120.29$90 inWon+$30.5922560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over47c104.74$50 inWon+$55.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under42c100$42 inLost-$4282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost-$5012646.8%59 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under42c85$36 inLost-$35.61,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c79.86$42 inWon+$37.962,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over52c54$28 inWon+$25.721,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c43.98$24 inWon+$19.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…79c3backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.825658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc00d…b3a0backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.484852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe329…982ebacked Over63c31.95$20 inWon+$11.952948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2b…451dbacked Over61c20$12 inWon+$7.88658.1%50 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.