Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2158f432c38981b2e260f580f372bc0aa2189948218c8a7d41a94f71b69bc68

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $145,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,059 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	64c	40,446$26,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,055.67	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	33c	12,985$4,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,697	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	40c	8,136$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,896.36	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over	14c	7,924$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,814.31	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over	25c	7,272$1,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,455.25	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	8c	5,416$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,997.93	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over	14c	3,499$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.14	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	66c	3,438$2,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,276.77	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	27c	3,217$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,362.98	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	21c	3,099$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.98	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	78c	3,061$2,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	71c	2,506$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.56	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	36c	2,125$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under	17c	2,055$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.46	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+12.6wins	+0.25per pick	14cpaid	+138.3%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over	15c	1,969$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,669.44	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	77c	1,715$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322.42	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	47c	1,422$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.74	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	16c	1,287$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,087.41	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	99	12.1%12 W · 87 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	73c	915.73$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.35	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	22c	904.99$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.89	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	40c	802.73$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.4	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under	17c	800$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	16cpaid	+153.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over	36c	781.06$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.88	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over	14c	714.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.29	150	40.7%61 W · 89 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over	50c	507.7$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.96	225	60.4%136 W · 89 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	138	13%18 W · 120 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under	42c	500$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	176	45.5%80 W · 96 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	19c	400$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over	54c	400$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	71c	381.79$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.22	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	12c	375$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c9…424fbacked Over	58c	368.62$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.82	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabf…832abacked Over	56c	353.13$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.37	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over	58c	301.72$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.72	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under	22c	283.75$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over	53c	277.36$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.36	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…08e9backed Over	20c	248.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.01	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	35c	245.59$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.16	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	22c	242.93$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.67	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	44c	228.75$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.15	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	14c	222$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.92	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Over	49c	221.99$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.22	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over	14c	220.04$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.04	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Over	14c	214.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.29	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	30c	209$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.68	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	13c	201.32$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.72	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over	58c	175$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.15	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over	15c	150$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	256	39.1%100 W · 156 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	25c	128.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.25	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	54c	127$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.47	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	14c	117.39$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.96	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over	14c	108.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.15	106	43.4%46 W · 60 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.45	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-7.0wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	13c	100$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	+19.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	70c	81.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.37	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2034…16dfbacked Over	13c	80$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+192.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb79…3abdbacked Over	58c	71.79$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…0693backed Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	40c	62.16$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.47	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over	60c	61.77$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.65	90	55.6%50 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…bf19backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	107	69.2%74 W · 33 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Under	62c	51.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	224	45.5%102 W · 122 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	61c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over	48c	41.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	78c	36.16$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.96	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…1506backed Over	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Under	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	257	54.5%140 W · 117 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6a…4517backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4efb…abfcbacked Under	51c	21.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Over	53c	20.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	298	46%137 W · 161 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8714…7eeebacked Over	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…2048backed Over	58c	18.47$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.76	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Türkiye won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event