TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,902 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c5,836$3,521 inWon+$2,315.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over42c5,047$2,132 inLost-$2,131.677930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over22c1,335$300 inLost-$30032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c1,105$856 inWon+$249.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over20c390$78 inLost-$785238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over25c284.61$71 inLost-$71.0148328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over20c275$55 inLost-$5523729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c273.4$64 inLost-$64.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under79c243.6$192 inWon+$52.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under79c219.84$174 inWon+$46.023,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over50c200$100 inLost-$1001776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under78c159.05$124 inWon+$34.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over34c100$34 inLost-$33.539956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under50c85.35$43 inWon+$42.2612954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under79c82$65 inWon+$17.223,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…5c4ebacked Over23c65.22$15 inLost-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over36c64.14$23 inLost-$23.039168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x63c7…26aabacked Over47c63.7$30 inLost-$29.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under78c60$47 inWon+$13.051,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under54c57.36$31 inWon+$26.3977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under79c53.3$42 inWon+$11.4386656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost-$259455.3%52 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a0…bc97backed Over46c40.48$19 inLost-$18.596737.3%25 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ee…cf6abacked Over44c32.69$14 inLost-$14.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over79c25$20 inLost-$19.7520186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under77c21.09$16 inWon+$4.881,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under55c20$11 inWon+$92,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.