Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb03fcc539294a99935e58be4695d73b6b42cbf793873aa3b162e016ba1ae0b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 52,554$6,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,936.9 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 49,498$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 15,900$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Over | 4c | 13,900$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 12c | 10,009$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.56 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 9c | 5,656$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.61 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 4,886$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Over | 4c | 4,804$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 14c | 4,018$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.81 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 10c | 3,930$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 4c | 2,557$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 2,020$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 1,472$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Over | 13c | 1,344$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 16c | 1,225$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c6…86b4backed Under | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 14c | 1,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 4c | 983$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Over | 3c | 887.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 6c | 811.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Over | 4c | 755.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…efb4backed Over | 4c | 650$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 10c | 630.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 591.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…4a58backed Over | 5c | 548$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Over | 7c | 474.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 13c | 399.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 11c | 388.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Over | 5c | 313.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Over | 4c | 304.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…e26ebacked Over | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Under | 78c | 254.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 14c | 230.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Over | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4e49backed Under | 78c | 127.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 13c | 127.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 13c | 122.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Over | 14c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 13c | 111.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 13c | 107.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 13c | 107.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…b463backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 14c | 89.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over | 12c | 87.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…5ca4backed Over | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…96a3backed Under | 78c | 64.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 80c | 49.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…a747backed Under | 79c | 24.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.