TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c21,637$6,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,029.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…593abacked Over74c6,914$5,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.212470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c5,722$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over71c5,555$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.9419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over71c4,963$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.182080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over72c4,773$3,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.321,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over72c4,765$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.342,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c4,597$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c4,079$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Over70c2,836$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.585451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under29c2,741$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7252882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over72c2,248$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.982466.7%16 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c2,162$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Over71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over71c1,971$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.75959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under29c1,891$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under27c1,744$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40517636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d9…7ebdbacked Over71c1,403$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c982.78$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.871,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Under28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c709.07$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.883,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under28c596.82$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.432,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c559.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1458544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under30c496.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under28c431.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.871,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under28c424.22$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.71,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Over71c334.08$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.883333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf8…1fb3backed Under32c308.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9712257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.141,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2dd…3ff9backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Over74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.128164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over73c199.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under29c196.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.911,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…4245backed Over74c174.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.316858.8%40 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over70c166.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8517736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ee…7a99backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over72c139.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7612253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over73c137.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6822466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9915040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under30c135.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.686533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f32…d2c7backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over67c124.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over73c112.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3710849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338864.8%57 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under30c103.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0623036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over73c101.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over70c75.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under28c71.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9478559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3d…34efbacked Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4315360.8%93 W · 60 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa990…dc90backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424463.6%28 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under29c70.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e1…3830backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5718444.6%82 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed Over72c66.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6612650%63 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked Over71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.853754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3112…de6abacked Over69c60.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc2…74d6backed Under33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207737.7%29 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Over74c57.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0812340.7%50 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under29c57.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.431,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3427260.3%164 W · 108 L-0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3413860.9%84 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x123d…1cabbacked Under27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb7…943ebacked Over72c55.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.479053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd0…1f67backed Over73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8517652.8%93 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Over73c53.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.427945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over72c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under29c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.662,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21bd…c7afbacked Under32c47.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Over71c45.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2815959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.831,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6af…fc2fbacked Over72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.673336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…827dbacked Over74c40.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5424140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over70c40.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce04…e871backed Over71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over73c30.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.363357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.127765.3%181 W · 96 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over70c28.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3710643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8977…6579backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.177363%46 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a8…9cc7backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbd…8990backed Over69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.683740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58d2…0de7backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7810555.2%58 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.429463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over74c27.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1418056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over72c26.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.466048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over72c25.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.277459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8d…6ab6backed Over74c25.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c25.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.