TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf16e…43afbacked Under9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under35c7,306$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.0966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under51c4,263$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.9627845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c4,101$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over57c3,684$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.6324341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c3,495$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over67c3,419$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8336539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c3,202$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under39c2,573$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over51c2,244$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.7864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under49c2,165$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.4525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c2,119$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under53c2,054$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Over46c2,000$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.613652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under21c1,978$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5222932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over16c1,875$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under44c1,611$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.197240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under41c1,562$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3323637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under43c1,516$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.2629740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c1,341$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under3c1,299$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0213530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,297$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.193,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8941968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over17c1,200$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over56c1,200$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under33c1,166$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8921143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Over65c1,076$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under47c1,038$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over57c1,010$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.66647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under7c954.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.835848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c940.48$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.093154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over17c889.47$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.266139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under45c889.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under47c810.72$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Over67c802.06$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.625863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over60c788$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.227655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under6c754.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7517534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over66c702.33$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.11,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1841…87efbacked Over66c678.18$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.114238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under7c652.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Over49c623.95$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.212152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under15c599.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Over17c583.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.972313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over62c576.77$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.711,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over17c548.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.285238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c492.92$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under45c473.68$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8625049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under41c472.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3330642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over49c432.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9946939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over62c417$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.821,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under3c403.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.117827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18829558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over17c399.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9915440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c326.87$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.572,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Under42c326.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.724839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over47c317.73$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c304.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c264.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under52c259.8$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.918336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over35c259.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5813351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019450.5%98 W · 96 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under64c237.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7833438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Over16c234.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8811436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over55c229.64$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.682,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over54c202.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.151,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over51c197.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over60c192.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over78c192.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.033151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over64c190.77$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6847935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under14c190$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.42,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8126738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713037.7%49 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under43c175.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4834731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under44c170.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9922633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over16c142$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.282,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over50c140.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1510849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under50c136.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.514655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over54c126$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9292732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.412953.5%69 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over53c117.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over65c116.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.865863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.295213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under66c113$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.15549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.75137.3%19 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over67c105.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.291,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2627742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf938…1e00backed Over58c102.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.255459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5029639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec5…6093backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.