TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c40,667$16,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,210.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over51c15,000$7,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,334.823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c7,346$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.911,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c6,070$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over52c5,301$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.488932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c4,608$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.844,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over79c3,200$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over52c2,884$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.3222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c2,563$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c2,481$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,069$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c1,830$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c1,380$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c1,315$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Over58c1,190$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.661650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9915147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over70c934.94$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9418435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c925.6$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Under32c925.46$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0410534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over54c909.83$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.524450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over78c806$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.151,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over51c803.31$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.627560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over51c778.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7911645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under7c743.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.438615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c736.08$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under46c599.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over78c592$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.181,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c545.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.455341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over56c526.09$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4812332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over72c510.21$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c464$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.913,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over70c460.36$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.962,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.619750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under50c351.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under50c319.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8413543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under46c304.83$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.791,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c303.05$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14415424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under46c296.44$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.941,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c281.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1816258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c257.1$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.721,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under43c255.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9424950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca22…2ee7backed Under42c249.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.935060%30 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over80c239$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under32c230.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over75c221.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9217045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b8…e82abacked Under44c194.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.435747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over72c186$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2337237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1951045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1928646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over55c182.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.951,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under47c178.83$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f5…1f57backed Over69c175.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3611950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c169.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2362452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under46c166.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafa…e6babacked Over52c129.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.937149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Over58c118.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c108$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.841,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over67c101.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.341,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9113…cc3abacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xada8…2a67backed Over54c93.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.244551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under48c78.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.231,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e3…fdaabacked Under34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Over53c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.729645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under49c71.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over55c70.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Under45c69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0517432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over77c66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under53c64.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4737950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed3…de1ebacked Over55c63.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c58.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.791,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…5b29backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f05…7f3dbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…5c13backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0811143.2%48 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa304…234ebacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111361.1%69 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.110546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc5…db85backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204055%22 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710037%37 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd520…0c5fbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x422a…dc4bbacked Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.