TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Türkiyeof United States, Türkiye
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed United States15c44,783$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States15c33,917$5,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,181.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Türkiye75c22,664$16,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,751.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States6c14,226$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked United States27c13,710$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed United States15c9,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9138026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked United States25c9,596$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed United States13c9,366$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.071,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bef…5a8cbacked United States28c8,216$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked United States16c7,900$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.7638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed United States26c7,318$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.221,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Türkiye74c7,287$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed United States13c5,555$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.1532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed United States23c5,197$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.364,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed United States12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed United States16c4,535$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.772,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked United States12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked United States25c3,241$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.111,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked United States14c2,593$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36314428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked United States14c1,686$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked United States25c1,638$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.522,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb120…3df9backed United States15c1,584$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.822630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed United States14c1,498$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.233,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked United States10c1,148$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.81526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Türkiye79c1,111$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8418056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked United States15c947.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.612,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed United States16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked United States19c907.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.92,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed United States13c792.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10319436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed United States15c743.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb119…7132backed United States27c728.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Türkiye73c726.92$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8318765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed United States14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed United States13c640$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked United States16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed United States10c600$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5722633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked United States3c560.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.512,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ebf…a29bbacked United States14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed United States15c471.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.722231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked United States12c450.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0537237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed United States12c420$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked United States12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked United States14c412.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed United States13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked United States14c376.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Türkiye75c374.5$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.381,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…826ebacked United States15c333.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509056.7%51 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Türkiye75c299.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0470750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed United States23c294.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed United States14c285$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.58149.4%40 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Türkiye69c259.83$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed United States25c234.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5751429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c7a…f376backed United States19c230$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.729159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked United States16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521241.5%88 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed United States12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked United States24c198.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked United States14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…93f1backed United States14c178.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8e…ece5backed United States13c168.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed United States15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28fa…ac01backed United States13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205225%13 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked United States14c146.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed United States14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f86…5c4ebacked United States16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked United States26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011625.9%30 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…df46backed United States13c107.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed United States15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510614.2%15 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…6e44backed United States12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed United States16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168225.6%21 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed United States15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed United States14c98.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked United States14c94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0387938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x092f…d9fdbacked Türkiye76c89.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4718553%98 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed United States12c88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed United States16c85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4327145.8%124 W · 147 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed United States32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed United States26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…bf19backed United States26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010769.2%74 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked United States28c73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked United States14c72.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3325655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed United States24c49.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215234.2%52 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked United States25c41.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.298140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed United States29c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Türkiye78c14.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.