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Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,300,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,463,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,300,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 627 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over59c125,584$74,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,078.7542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under41c111,000$45,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,509.8532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c109,336$42,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,5384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Under40c108,056$43,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,134.684143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over59c84,746$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,745.7611645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over59c63,733$37,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,130.583458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over57c53,942$30,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,329.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under45c50,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,499.9422348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over60c47,808$28,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,123.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under42c40,952$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,20064446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under35c40,050$13,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,934.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over57c33,589$19,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,443.3415552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Under42c29,300$12,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,30614139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c26,425$16,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,923.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over61c21,406$13,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,348.1551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under18c20,177$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.0644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under41c19,000$7,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,789.9714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under43c18,679$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0003850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under41c17,073$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under41c15,293$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,270.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under39c15,102$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,889.6420844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c12,685$7,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under41c12,095$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.6447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under6c11,296$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5831945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under40c11,283$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.6848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under41c11,111$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.5121836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under41c10,021$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.3544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1006842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under22c9,995$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19917550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under41c9,756$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c9,674$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under21c8,945$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.311,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c8,500$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…5992backed Over62c7,969$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under41c7,500$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.948453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c7,253$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under41c6,900$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8081,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over59c6,766$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.5427236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under42c6,500$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,71550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under42c6,000$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.8916258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under38c5,267$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.756459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9924144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under41c4,800$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95247442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c4,629$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over55c4,595$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.9370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over59c4,540$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over70c4,512$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.962,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over60c4,449$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9814351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.3425336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c4,188$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.521,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6803357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c3,651$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.131,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3657733.8%26 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4354456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under8c3,494$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over79c3,258$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.213271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under8c3,182$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Over64c3,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.036155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.9923255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over79c2,714$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.771,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Under38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c2,591$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.341,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c2,564$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Under40c2,382$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.6133548.4%162 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over80c2,301$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.135841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under27c2,150$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58424136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Over62c2,118$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.997042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over60c2,064$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.577560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72011246.4%52 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8408748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2037…9d28backed Over61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+78.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84012345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022047.7%105 W · 115 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8408847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under7c1,999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9330626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under41c1,783$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.9417852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.927630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over58c1,667$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.831046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6716552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Over60c1,629$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.596640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.97032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.96848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd754…5222backed Over62c1,600$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6081080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67526940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over58c1,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6259241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f60…63fcbacked Under36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e86…4538backed Under36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c1,454$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.922,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under26c1,418$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7645536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb76e…bfb9backed Under36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Under42c1,390$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9829017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under40c1,376$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.41,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.