TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c52,143$33,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,069.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c15,702$6,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,481.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c10,264$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c7,705$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over41c5,127$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.1553629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c4,064$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.022,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c3,781$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.654,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over29c3,401$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c3,277$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over43c1,978$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.141,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c1,815$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.062,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over26c1,801$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x399b…765ebacked Over62c1,765$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c1,605$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.382,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under75c1,362$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.391,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c1,200$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.61,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over63c1,197$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c1,135$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over61c1,129$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.397560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Over36c930$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.520334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over44c924.73$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.822,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under62c899.98$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9915147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over43c800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34232959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under73c570.68$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under71c560.91$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over26c550.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.413,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c474.04$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.82,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over67c457.56$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4819935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over44c451.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf799…6255backed Under52c384.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.84273.8%31 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c361.32$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.912,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over28c358.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under72c351.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5636448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under77c333$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.943,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over27c315.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.473,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1e…7eb6backed Under69c312.35$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.012766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over44c302.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6437237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…e226backed Over50c299.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.983438.2%13 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over27c243.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over25c217.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2816136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c204.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.771,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb5…7173backed Over50c199.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over26c188.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9420133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under72c175.04$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4273234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Over32c166.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.219633.3%32 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Under68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0627767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Under71c141.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6910534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over43c138.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1428444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over52c119.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.072,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over39c111.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.431,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over28c106.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.282,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under71c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under72c101.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.391,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691e…cbbbbacked Over28c100.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.318751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…5508backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c48…1c17backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112251.6%63 W · 59 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d2…a347backed Over26c94.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over38c86.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.581,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d8…d46abacked Over44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under72c82.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.991,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x123d…1cabbacked Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8156…d978backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016442.1%69 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c79.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4311058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under79c66.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0537950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c66.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.531,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Over36c63.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315742.7%67 W · 90 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…d17dbacked Under45c62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069b…285cbacked Over36c60.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.814022.5%9 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over36c50.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.052,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under70c43.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over29c42.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.311,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over48c41.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under53c40.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8512…a38cbacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.818637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over27c38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2650950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.362,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c5…ed42backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208046.3%37 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x139f…bb2fbacked Over52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166439.1%25 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b5…3b75backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ff…d0dfbacked Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189951.5%51 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…2048backed Over38c28.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.713036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0346243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6642853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…f190backed Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe7c…406cbacked Under75c24.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.081136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over59c23.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.