Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4a650a8b67ba01c60af38e1784e405e33caa72f1f8124c902f2c653dc3ac5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 75c | 4,019$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 13c | 1,500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 811.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 76c | 647.29$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 512.04$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 42c | 449.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.02 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 15c | 417.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 9c | 379.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 25c | 331$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.25 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 38c | 330.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 58c | 264.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 237.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 202.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…a43abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 77c | 196.96$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 62c | 171.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 154.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 79c | 142.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 24c | 105.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 269 | 46.8%126 W · 143 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 96.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 37c | 76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 71.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…56a5backed Yes | 25c | 50.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…9fd7backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 77c | 43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…c9f8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…b74cbacked No | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed No | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed No | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…b9a6backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.