Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b063e9a2d118c32ee05f4137dee456d2b2c8423dbff8537e1dea909c545fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 74c | 13,324$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.07 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 27c | 7,439$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.75 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 5,924$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 74c | 3,000$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.88 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Under | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 1,297$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 26c | 946.04$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 72c | 788.09$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 746.8$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 680.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 643.06$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 26c | 626.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 621.4$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 27c | 548.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0ae7backed Under | 28c | 348.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 262.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 7c | 215.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…a2b8backed Under | 28c | 166.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 26c | 142.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 73c | 109.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 25c | 86.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 21c | 65.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Under | 27c | 62.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Under | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over | 77c | 46.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…ac1fbacked Over | 73c | 21.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Over | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…a8e5backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…e0f7backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…4b35backed Over | 76c | 14.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.